Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: Pegula outperforms Birrell slightly, winning 44.96% of points compared to Birrell's 40.68%. This difference often influences match outcomes.
• Return game stats: Birrell excels in winning opponents' second serve points with 51.09%, while Pegula is slightly lower at 48.35%. Who commands the play may depend on Birrell’s return capability.
• Break point toughness: Pegula edges Birrell in saving breakpoints, achieving 52.17% against Birrell's 52.05%, though the margin is minimal.
• Overall performance: In the past year, Pegula boasts a superior match win rate of 70.83% versus Birrell's 61.04%.
• Performance on hard courts: Both players prefer hard courts, but Pegula has a higher win percentage at 67% compared to Birrell's 58%.
• Match experience: Pegula frequently competes in higher-stakes tournaments, with opponents averaging a rank of 54.49, whereas Birrell's opponents averaged 179.32. Can Birrell adjust to higher competition?
• Deciding sets: If the match extends, Pegula has the upper hand, winning 65% of deciding sets against all opponents, while Birrell wins 52%.
• Break point conversion: Birrell converts break points better, with a success rate of 38.05%, while Pegula converts 34.18%. This might be crucial in tight situations.

Editorial Prediction (August 10, 2025, UTC):

Birrell and Pegula are both formidable players, each showcasing distinct strengths. Birrell shows strength in return games and breakpoint conversion, crucial skills when trying to unsettle opponents during key points.

However, Pegula demonstrates a balanced edge with better performance on second serve points, more wins on hard courts, and resilience in deciding sets. Her consistency at higher-level tournaments against tougher opponents suggests readiness for competitive challenges.

While Birrell's aggressive return tactics may keep the match close, Pegula's comprehensive skill set and experience likely position her as the favorite to win the upcoming match.